In 2009 the four major industrial industry will have to face the
Before the closing of the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, in 2009, China will optimize and upgrade the industrial structure in accordance with the requirements of the survival of the fittest and focus on ease of development and the elimination of the bottleneck and eliminate backward production capacity and accelerate the product to regenerate themselves and enhance independent innovation capability and industrial competitiveness Force.
In the grim situation of the Central Policy and the dual role of the signal, as the Chinese economy in a major industry, iron and steel, automobiles, electricity, textile, in 2009 in the face of what kind of "cold"?
Iron and steel industry: in the second half is expected to slow "recovery"
(Industry) in the second half of this year, the international financial crisis, and other multiple factors, steel prices have fallen substantially and the steel industry-round loss. From October onwards, the central and local policy of expanding domestic demand and the introduction of intensive projects, is recognized as iron and steel industry constitutes a strong positive.
(Trend analysis) and authoritative experts have pointed out that the current situation, in the first half of next year is still enormous pressure on steel prices. Is expected to absorb the high prices of raw materials to continue until March next year, a loss of pressure will continue. By overcapacity and the impact of the economic slowdown, the price of steel may be further reduced. In the second half of next year, the steel industry is expected to usher in a slow recovery. On the one hand, the cost of iron ore price is expected to continue to decline; on the other hand, the huge national and local investment in steel demand strong pull effect, is expected to appear in the second half of next year.
In such a situation, iron and steel industry restructuring and consolidation ushered in "a good opportunity." Chinese iron and steel smelting enterprises are now nearly 1,000, a very low concentration. Experts point out that in this crisis, the steel industry will be the formation of the survival of the fittest, the implementation of re-integration.
(Sound policies) Industrial and Information Minister Li Yizhong said recently: "The iron and steel industry to promote change by the strong, and in the merger should give the relevant policy."
National Development and Reform Commission Zhang Ping, director, said: next year will focus on promoting strategic readjustment of economic structure and the transformation and upgrading of enterprises, organizations and the preparation of the implementation of the revitalization of the iron and steel industry planning, protection and development of good pillar industries, key enterprises, key products and significant production capacity.
Automotive industry: Effect policies look forward to leaving
(Industry) by multiple factors, a decline of the domestic automobile industry. Data show that the first 11 months of year-on-year increase in sales over the same period last year were down more than 14 percentage points. Of the month in November, domestic passenger car sales fell more than 10%.
(Trend analysis) multi-general of the view that economic growth next year may be due to the continued decline in asset prices, shrinking population and income growth slowed down under pressure automobile industry is not optimistic.
State Council Development Research Center said that in the first half of next year, the auto consumption will not face the pressure to ease soon, the car should be mainly self-protection, and strictly control costs and investment plans. But in the long run, the expansion of domestic demand, economic decision-making, as well as the relatively loose monetary policy, are a positive factor for the automotive industry.
Refined oil into the small reform of taxes and fees vehicles emission of major positive development. The survey shows that the reforms in place, there will be 40% of consumers buy smaller cars. At the same time, this reform will significantly benefit the development of new energy vehicle to promote the recovery of the automobile market.
(Sound policies) and the National Development and Reform Commission disclosed that at present auto industry, such as the revitalization of the planning work is advancing. Industry and the Ministry of Information is on the car with a number of policies related to investigation and research, Li Yizhong clear recommendation "should be all over the clean-up is not conducive to private sector purchasing and using cars of a number of provisions to encourage automobile consumption."
Power: challenges than opportunities
(Industry) in October, China's power industry appear a negative growth of 4.65 percent for the first time in 10 years in a single month of negative growth. In November, some provinces and cities in year-on-year increase in electricity consumption declined by more than 30%. A substantial rise in coal prices and demand fell under the influence of the current thermal power companies face a loss of more than 90% of the whole year is expected to thermal power industry will be a loss of more than 70,000,000,000 yuan.
(Trend analysis) in 2009, through this year's "winter" of the electricity industry will be both opportunities and challenges, and opportunities than challenges. By the decline in the economy as a whole, "surplus" will continue to appear embarrassed.
Price contradictions will become more prominent. So far this year, the development of the country's coal price linkage delays in the implementation of the policy, resulting in a loss of power generation companies to accumulate electricity has become increasing acute. In the face of the complexity of the economic situation next year, electricity prices could adjust in a timely manner, with a lot of uncertainty.
Restructuring the excuse is expected to "speed." Relaxed environment for next year's electricity consumption is for China to release the power structure of time and space. In the face of great change in this year's domestic power generation business from Happy Valley-style enclosure of the rapid expansion, to focus on the development of effective models.
(Sound policy) of the Central Economic Work Conference: focus on energy reduction, environmental protection, ecological construction of key projects; At the same time, be able to accelerate the establishment of a fully reflect the market supply and demand, resource scarcity, environmental damage costs of the resources element of the price formation mechanism.
Textile: multiple burdens "help" rescue
(Industry) in October this year, Chinese textile and garment export growth rate hit a 6-year low. At present, textile enterprises above designated size in about 70% of the average profit margin was 0.1 percent, textile industry, two-thirds of the loss of business or at the edge of a loss.
(Trend analysis) with the introduction of a series of policy measures is expected next year textile enterprises will clearly reduce the tax burden, at the same time, the imminent escalation of industrial restructuring.
State Council executive meeting the other day clearly will continue to raise textile and garment export tax rebate rate. This year, the export tax rebate rate increased 3 percentage points during the year about reducing the tax burden on the textile industry more than 80 billion yuan. If in 2009 the export tax rebate rate continues to rise, textile enterprises make profits of more improvement.
China has made it clear to the suspension of the processing trade is restricted to Taizhang margin management. The industry is estimated that this policy is expected in 2009 could be the liberation of textile industry funds about 60 billion yuan to improve the status of cash flow difficulties.
January 1 next year, the revised value-added tax transformation reform program implemented. After the adjustment, the textile industry will be greatly reduced the cost of equipment purchased, at the same time increase the size of the value-added tax deductions. It is estimated that in 2009 the textile industry in the purchase of new equipment may cost 6,000,000,000 yuan, to increase the value-added tax deductions 12,000,000,000 yuan.
(Sound policy) from the Ministry of Information Industry and the latest news: The next step, China will draw up their own clothing brand development of national strategies, the garment industry as a starting point, China's consumer goods industry as a whole brand-building. China Textile Industry Council has identified five major investment in technological transformation of the industry next year focus on the effective promotion of textile industrial upgrading and restructuring the pace.
| Published: 2008.12.17 Source: to see the number: 0
